22 Mayıs 2009

Uzun Menzilli Füze Denemeleri


Son yıllarda sıkça duyduğumuz bir olay haline gelen "Uzun Menzilli Füze Denemeleri", Dünya Gündemi'nde önemli yankılar yaratmaktadır. Alışıldığı üzere bu tür deneyleri genellikle Rusya Federasyonu, uçsuz bucaksız steplerde yapmakta, bazen de nükleer başlık kullanarak nüfus yoğunluğu sıfıra yakın olan topraklarına kırmızı, yeşil, turuncu gibi çeşitli renklerde kar yağdırmaktadır. Rus basınında her yıl en az bir kez yer alan bu tür haberler, yabancı basınlar tarafından da ilgiyle takip edilir olmuştur. Ancak son günlerde daha ilginç bir takım füze denemeleri gündemde kendine yer bulmakta. Örneğin Kuzey Kore'nin fırlattığı ve parçalarının başarılı bir şekilde Japon Denizi'ne döküldüğünü açıkladığı uzun menzilli füzesi, yabancı basında (özellikle ABD) fırlatılanın füze değil, uydu olduğu şeklinde yer almıştır. Buna rağmen ABD, Güney Kore, Japonya ve Çin teyakkuza geçmiş, denemenin ayrıntılarını öğrenmeye çalışmıştır.


Benzer denemelerin bir yenisi geçen hafta Hindistan tarafından gerçekleştirildi. Pakistan ile arasındaki Keşmir Sorunu yüzünden "uluslararası arenadaki en gergin yay" olarak nitelenen Hindistan'ın bu denemesi de tıpkı Kuzey Kore'ninki gibi, uluslararası camia tarafından tepkiyle karşılanmıştır. Rusya, Hindistan ve Kuzey Kore'den sonra İran da adı geçen devletlerden geri kalır bir yanı olmadığını haykırırcasına uzun menzilli balistik füze denemesinde bulundu. ABD Savunma Bakanı Robert Gates, denemenin başarılı olduğunu açıklarken, ABD'nin bu tür deneyleri çok yakından takip ettiğini de kanıtlamış oldu.

Kısa, orta ve uzun menzilli balistik füzelerin önemi, bu makinelere monte edilen nükleer başlıklardan kaynaklanmaktadır. Karadan karaya, karadan havaya vs gibi çeşitleri bulunan füzelerin, nükleer aparatları ile birlikte yaratacağı hasarın boyutları korkunç olacaktır. Dünya kamuoyunu, Soğuk Savaş'tan bu yana en çok korkutan olgu olan nükleer savaş, belki de hiçbir zaman gerçekleşmeyecektir. Ancak bu denemelerin, çatışmaların muhatabı olan, kötü üne sahip ülkeler tarafından şov amaçlı da olsa yapılmaları bile tedirginlik yaratmaktadır. Kuzey Kore-Güney Kore, Pakistan-Hindistan, İran-İsrail, Rusya-NATO gibi en ufak bir kıvılcımda patlamaya hazır bombaların üstünde oturan dünya için bu deneyler, büyük önem taşımaktadır. Bir gün İran'ın deney amaçlı fırlattığı (muhtemelen birden çok nükleer başlık taşıyan) Şahap-3 füzelerinden birinin İsrail'i yanlışlıkla vurması, Orta Doğu ve dünya açısından çok vahim sonuçlar doğurabilir. Bu yüzdendir ki, uranyum zenginleştirmek suretiyle nükleer güce erişen devletlerin, silahları sınırlandırılamasa da, deneylere yönelik bir takım tedbirler alınmalı, uzun menzilli füze denemeleri bazı koşullara bağlanmalı ve uymayanlara karşı da caydırıcı yaptırımlar uygulanmalıdır. Daha doğrusu varolan kuralların hayata geçirilmesi için önemli adımlar atılmalıdır.

:BİLGİ NOTU:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SRBM : Short-range Ballistic Missile (Kısa Menzilli Balistik Füze) -- 1000 km'den az-- Agni I/Hindistan, Jericho I/İsrail, Yıldırım I-II/Türkiye, İskender/Rusya, Şahab2/İran, Pakistan, ABD, Güney Kore
MRBM : Medium-range Ballistic Missile (Orta Menzilli Balistik Füze) -- 1000-3000 km --Agni II/Hindistan, Jericho II/İsrail, Şahab 3/İran, Şahin I/Pakistan, Çin, Kuzey Kore
IRBM : Intermediate-range Ballistic Missile (Uzun Menzilli Balistik Füze) -- 3000-5000 km -- Agni III/Hindistan, Dong-Feng IV/Çin, Pakistan, Kuzey Kore, ABD, Fransa
SLBM : Submarine-launched Ballistic Missile (Denizaltıdan atılan Balistik Füze) -- menzili çeşitlilik arzeder -- Fransa, Çin, Rusya, İngiltere, Hindistan, ABD
ICBM : Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (Kıtalararası Balistik Füze) -- > 5.500 km -- Rusya, ABD, İsrail, Hindistan, Kuzey Kore, İran, Fransa, İngiltere ve Çin tarafından geliştirilen onlarca türü bulunmaktadır

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